CMV: Mamdani's win in NYC was a fluke, the Democratic Party is not trending left or embracing socialism, and the only re
Long title so I'll so elaborate on the view I have regarding Zohran Mamdani's victory relative to the Democratic Party as a whole. I think that it happened almost solely because Andrew Cuomo entered the Democratic primary, and that he personally destroyed the any moderates' chances at winning the primary.
Andrew Cuomo, the big name former Governor, too big a name for any other moderate to compete with him. But unfortunately the big name former Governor was also embroiled in controversies. Had he not ran, I think there were two realistic possibilities: either Eric Adams would absorb the moderate vote in the primary and lose the primary but then win the general election as an independent, or more likely a younger (and more popular) high profile moderate like Ritchie Torres or Dan Goldman would've ran in the primary and won, and then won in the general election by 2021 level margins.
But Andrew Cuomo was both too strong a candidate to compete with in the primary and too weak a candidate to actually be electable. He destroyed Eric Adams' path to re-election (re-electing the incumbent is always the simplest option), and he prevented a younger less controversial high profile moderate fro
I get the idea, the intention might be solid, the rollout less so We’ll see how people react over time.
the main issue seems to be how this is handled
If you zoom out, this feels like a half-step, not a full move That’s what makes this interesting. Others will probably see it differently.
I get the idea, this feels rushed rather than thought through
Reaction: Its been 3 years since I last saw morning
Just reading this, this solves one problem while creating another This probably isn’t the last word on it. That’s the impression it gives me.
Without overthinking it, the signal is clear, the strategy less so and that’s why this won’t land the same for everyone Others will probably see it differently.
On the surface, there’s a gap between the message and the outcome which turns this into more of a debate That part stands out. That’s just my read on it.
From a practical angle, this solves one problem while creating another
I get the idea, the timing matters more than people admit which explains why reactions are split That part stands out. Not convinced this is settled yet.
Reaction: me_irl
From where I sit, this feels more about execution than intent which explains why reactions are split That’s the key detail here. Interested to see the follow-up. That’s the impression it gives me.
the idea isn’t bad, but the delivery is doing damage Others will probably see it differently.
Bluntly speaking, the direction makes sense but the details are messy which explains why reactions are split Others will probably see it differently.
From my side, the framing does a lot of heavy lifting here and that’s where the disagreement starts We’ll see how people react over time. That’s just my read on it.
Reaction: very shocking
On the surface, this feels like a half-step, not a full move and that friction is hard to ignore
To be fair, the wording alone shifts how people read this which is why this is getting picked apart
the idea isn’t bad, but the delivery is doing damage Hard to say where this lands long term.
Real talk, the direction makes sense but the details are messy That’s just how it reads to me. Could be wrong, but that’s how it comes across.
Stepping back, the way this is presented changes how it lands which is why the comments look the way they do That’s what changes the context.
this feels rushed rather than thought through and that’s why this won’t land the same for everyone
Real talk, there’s a lot said here but not much clarified This could age very differently in a week.
Reaction: Me irl
From a practical angle, this reads stronger on paper than in practice which makes the reaction pretty predictable That’s what changes the context. Feels like there’s more coming here.
Trying to be fair, the way this is presented changes how it lands and that’s where it gets complicated This probably isn’t the last word on it. At least from my perspective.
If you zoom out, this comes across more reactive than planned which is why this is getting picked apart Not convinced this is settled yet. That’s the impression it gives me.
To be fair, the direction makes sense but the details are messy which explains why reactions are split That part stands out.
Reaction: Its been 3 years since I last saw morning
this feels like a half-step, not a full move and that’s where it gets complicated That part stands out.
Reaction: Pepe in the cupboard
At this point, this reads stronger on paper than in practice Not convinced this is settled yet.
the timing matters more than people admit and that’s what people are responding to That part stands out. Feels like there’s more coming here. That’s the impression it gives me.
At this point, there’s a lot said here but not much clarified so the response doesn’t surprise me This could age very differently in a week.
Putting bias aside, this comes across more reactive than planned Feels like an opening move, not an ending. That’s the impression it gives me.