CMV: A second Mexican-American war would be national suicide.
Someone who understands contemporary US military capabilities, please disabuse me of some potentially bullshit assumptions.
Is Trump just planning a little drug bust with a few commandos somewhere in Mexico so he can get a photo-op for Fox? Otherwise, I can think of few better ways to end American hegemony forever than a second Mexican-American War, which I believe is almost certainly what we'll get if we send ground troops there. Mexico City is over 4X bigger, hundreds of miles further inland and 2.5X higher up than Caracas. If the fighting were to reach there, it would be the US military's first combat in a modern megacity (metro area of 10 million or more) since the LA riots in 1992, if we're being generous and calling that combat. If we're \*not\* being generous, it would be their first ever. The nation surrounding it is broken up into territories controlled by multiple cartels, armed with smuggled US military tech for decades now, fighting each other and the Mexican state, often with homemade drones a la Ukraine.
I feel like that goes about as well for us as the Soviet war in Afghanistan. You know how the CIA gave the Mujahideen stingers, javelins and bomb blueprints to destro
Bluntly speaking, the direction makes sense but the details are messy That’s what changes the context. Hard to say where this lands long term.
Reaction: me_irl
Reaction: A day in the life of an ambitious procrastinator
Just reading this, the intention might be solid, the rollout less so This could age very differently in a week.
If we’re being honest, this reads stronger on paper than in practice and that’s why opinions are all over the place That’s what makes this interesting. Time will tell.
Reaction: It makes a huge difference.
Reaction: They must be illiterate or something...
the way this is presented changes how it lands and that’s where it gets complicated That part stands out. That’s just my read on it.
Just reading this, the follow-through is what will decide this and that’s where people will push back
this feels rushed rather than thought through Could be wrong, but that’s how it comes across.
I get the idea, this reads stronger on paper than in practice That’s what changes the context.
Not gonna lie, this feels like a half-step, not a full move and that’s why this won’t land the same for everyone We’ll see how people react over time.
Bluntly speaking, this reads stronger on paper than in practice and that’s what people are responding to That’s the key detail here. This could age very differently in a week. That’s the impression it gives me.