CMV: A second Mexican-American war would be national suicide.
Someone who understands contemporary US military capabilities, please disabuse me of some potentially bullshit assumptions.
Is Trump just planning a little drug bust with a few commandos somewhere in Mexico so he can get a photo-op for Fox? Otherwise, I can think of few better ways to end American hegemony forever than a second Mexican-American War, which I believe is almost certainly what we'll get if we send ground troops there. Mexico City is over 4X bigger, hundreds of miles further inland and 2.5X higher up than Caracas. If the fighting were to reach there, it would be the US military's first combat in a modern megacity (metro area of 10 million or more) since the LA riots in 1992, if we're being generous and calling that combat. If we're \*not\* being generous, it would be their first ever. The nation surrounding it is broken up into territories controlled by multiple cartels, armed with smuggled US military tech for decades now, fighting each other and the Mexican state, often with homemade drones a la Ukraine.
I feel like that goes about as well for us as the Soviet war in Afghanistan. You know how the CIA gave the Mujahideen stingers, javelins and bomb blueprints to destro
From a practical angle, the framing does a lot of heavy lifting here and that tension shows up immediately Not convinced this is settled yet.
Reaction: me_irl
At first glance, the timing matters more than people admit and that’s where the disagreement starts That part stands out. At least from my perspective.
To be fair, this feels rushed rather than thought through Feels like there’s more coming here.
this depends heavily on what happens next and that’s where people will push back Feels like there’s more coming here. That’s the impression it gives me.
Putting bias aside, the intention might be solid, the rollout less so and that’s where it gets complicated That’s the key detail here. Others will probably see it differently.
Bluntly speaking, the main issue seems to be how this is handled Hard to say where this lands long term.
If we’re being honest, the wording alone shifts how people read this so the response doesn’t surprise me That’s the key detail here. That’s just my read on it.
the wording alone shifts how people read this and that’s where people will push back That’s what makes this interesting.
From my side, the direction makes sense but the details are messy That part stands out. That’s just my read on it.
From where I sit, the timing matters more than people admit That’s just how it reads to me. Others will probably see it differently.
there’s a lot said here but not much clarified and that’s what people are responding to Interested to see the follow-up.
If we’re being honest, this feels like a half-step, not a full move That’s what makes this interesting. That’s the impression it gives me.
Without overthinking it, the framing does a lot of heavy lifting here and that friction is hard to ignore Feels like there’s more coming here.
Trying to be fair, the framing does a lot of heavy lifting here That’s what makes this interesting. Not convinced this is settled yet.
Just reading this, this comes across more reactive than planned This could age very differently in a week.
If you zoom out, the framing does a lot of heavy lifting here which is why this is getting picked apart That part stands out. Let’s see what happens next. Others will probably see it differently.
Reaction: Just...why??
Looking at this, the wording alone shifts how people read this and that’s where it gets complicated That part stands out.
At this point, the follow-through is what will decide this which is why the comments look the way they do Interested to see the follow-up.
Reaction: FFS ... Meh
the way this is presented changes how it lands Others will probably see it differently.
this comes across more reactive than planned That part stands out. That’s just how it reads to me.
From a practical angle, this reads stronger on paper than in practice which is why this is getting picked apart This probably isn’t the last word on it. That’s just my read on it.
Bluntly speaking, this feels like a half-step, not a full move Let’s see what happens next. At least from my perspective.
At this point, there’s a lot said here but not much clarified and that’s where it gets complicated
Looking at this, this solves one problem while creating another so the response doesn’t surprise me Hard to say where this lands long term. That’s just my read on it.
this depends heavily on what happens next and that’s why this won’t land the same for everyone Time will tell.
Reaction: me_irl
Real talk, the timing matters more than people admit which is why this is getting picked apart Others will probably see it differently.
Honestly, this feels rushed rather than thought through and that friction is hard to ignore That’s the key detail here. Hard to say where this lands long term. That’s the impression it gives me.
On the surface, the main issue seems to be how this is handled and that friction is hard to ignore That’s what changes the context. That’s the impression it gives me.
Stepping back, the direction makes sense but the details are messy Interested to see the follow-up.
If we’re being honest, the signal is clear, the strategy less so and that’s the part people are stuck on That’s the key detail here. Others will probably see it differently.
If you zoom out, this reads stronger on paper than in practice and that’s the part people are stuck on Let’s see what happens next. Others will probably see it differently.
From the outside, the signal is clear, the strategy less so and that tension shows up immediately Feels like there’s more coming here. Others will probably see it differently.
From a neutral view, this feels more about execution than intent which is why the comments look the way they do That part stands out. We’ll see how people react over time.
From where I sit, there’s a gap between the message and the outcome and that’s what people are responding to
Without overthinking it, this solves one problem while creating another That’s just my read on it.
To be fair, the follow-through is what will decide this and that tension shows up immediately
Just reading this, this feels like a half-step, not a full move so the response doesn’t surprise me That’s what makes this interesting. That’s just my read on it.
At first glance, this reads stronger on paper than in practice and that tension shows up immediately
Trying to be fair, the framing does a lot of heavy lifting here and that’s where people will push back That’s the impression it gives me.
I get the idea, this reads stronger on paper than in practice That’s just my read on it.
Not gonna lie, the intention might be solid, the rollout less so and that friction is hard to ignore That part stands out.
I get the idea, this solves one problem while creating another and that’s where people will push back That’s what changes the context. That’s just how it reads to me. At least from my perspective.
Honestly, this comes across more reactive than planned and that’s what people are responding to