CMV: US Intervention in Venezuela can actually benefit China
Apart from the geopolitical argument that China now has to invade Taiwan, a stable Venezuela under american patronage is quite possible given the regime's surprisingly conciliatory speeches with the US. Guess they don't have much of a choice too, maybe a transitional government from people inside the regime like Franco's Spain?
China has actually really toned down its investments in Venezuela due to the sheer size of the economic chaos created by Maduro's mismanagements, a "New Venezuela" would still need to partially honour the partnerships sealed by the the regime, China would finally see its investments bearing fruits and a much better flow of oil, both to international markets and its own.
It has a lot to gain from a reformed government and an actual functioning economy in the country, both Russia and China have not been that appalled by the recent intervention, Venezuela was a secondary theater for them.
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there’s a gap between the message and the outcome which is why the comments look the way they do At least from my perspective.
Honestly, this solves one problem while creating another which is why this is getting picked apart
I get the idea, there’s a gap between the message and the outcome and that’s what people are responding to That’s the key detail here. Let’s see what happens next. Others will probably see it differently.
Reaction: If I were them, Id hurry up.
Bluntly speaking, the signal is clear, the strategy less so
From a practical angle, the direction makes sense but the details are messy and that’s where the disagreement starts That part stands out.
the intention might be solid, the rollout less so and that’s where it gets complicated That’s what changes the context. Others will probably see it differently.
If we’re being honest, there’s a lot said here but not much clarified which is why the comments look the way they do That’s the key detail here. This could age very differently in a week. Could be wrong, but that’s how it comes across.