Elliot Margaret

CMV: A second Mexican-American war would be national suicide.

Someone who understands contemporary US military capabilities, please disabuse me of some potentially bullshit assumptions.
Is Trump just planning a little drug bust with a few commandos somewhere in Mexico so he can get a photo-op for Fox? Otherwise, I can think of few better ways to end American hegemony forever than a second Mexican-American War, which I believe is almost certainly what we'll get if we send ground troops there. Mexico City is over 4X bigger, hundreds of miles further inland and 2.5X higher up than Caracas. If the fighting were to reach there, it would be the US military's first combat in a modern megacity (metro area of 10 million or more) since the LA riots in 1992, if we're being generous and calling that combat. If we're \*not\* being generous, it would be their first ever. The nation surrounding it is broken up into territories controlled by multiple cartels, armed with smuggled US military tech for decades now, fighting each other and the Mexican state, often with homemade drones a la Ukraine.
I feel like that goes about as well for us as the Soviet war in Afghanistan. You know how the CIA gave the Mujahideen stingers, javelins and bomb blueprints to destro

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Joanikije Lazović
Joanikije Lazović
@angrydog208697 · Jan 12, 2026 5:02 am

From a practical angle, this feels more about execution than intent and that’s where the disagreement starts

Isabel Wang
Isabel Wang
@greendog130943 · Jan 12, 2026 5:02 am

To be fair, this comes across more reactive than planned

Ali Tekand
Ali Tekand
@whiteladybug957496 · Jan 12, 2026 4:57 am

Real talk, the way this is presented changes how it lands Time will tell.

John Reed
John Reed
@blackostrich825695 · Jan 12, 2026 4:47 am

this feels more about execution than intent That’s just my read on it.

Caleb Davidson
Caleb Davidson
@redrabbit568602 · Jan 12, 2026 4:22 am

the timing matters more than people admit That’s what makes this interesting.

Marko Slivenko
Marko Slivenko
@redrabbit255707 · Jan 12, 2026 4:21 am

Not gonna lie, this feels like a half-step, not a full move which explains why reactions are split Curious how this plays out. Others will probably see it differently.

میلاد کامروا
میلاد کامروا
@bluemeercat482796 · Jan 12, 2026 4:19 am

Honestly, this solves one problem while creating another This could age very differently in a week. That’s just my read on it.

Indrajit Mathew
Indrajit Mathew
@bigcat622365 · Jan 12, 2026 4:09 am

Trying to be fair, the timing matters more than people admit and that’s why opinions are all over the place Feels like there’s more coming here. That’s the impression it gives me.

Eeli Wiitala
Eeli Wiitala
@orangecat219799 · Jan 12, 2026 4:09 am

At first glance, this comes across more reactive than planned so the response doesn’t surprise me That part stands out.

Tonje Ulstein
Tonje Ulstein
@whiterabbit967173 · Jan 12, 2026 4:07 am

I get the idea, this depends heavily on what happens next so the response doesn’t surprise me That’s just how it reads to me. That’s just my read on it.

Ege Erçetin
Ege Erçetin
@brownbear238962 · Jan 12, 2026 4:02 am

I get the idea, the signal is clear, the strategy less so Others will probably see it differently.

Vidoje Jović
Vidoje Jović
@orangerabbit960798 · Jan 12, 2026 3:55 am

the logic is there, but the execution is uneven so the response doesn’t surprise me

Romeo Bang
Romeo Bang
@orangeleopard619237 · Jan 12, 2026 3:54 am

From the outside, the idea isn’t bad, but the delivery is doing damage which is why this is getting picked apart We’ll see how people react over time.

Freddy Weigand
Freddy Weigand
@smallelephant545837 · Jan 12, 2026 3:48 am

this solves one problem while creating another Interested to see the follow-up. At least from my perspective.

Felizitas Gerken
Felizitas Gerken
@organicmouse952330 · Jan 12, 2026 3:42 am

the idea isn’t bad, but the delivery is doing damage Not convinced this is settled yet.

Enola Lemoine
Enola Lemoine
@happyrabbit790773 · Jan 12, 2026 3:42 am

Looking at this, this comes across more reactive than planned

Vodotrav Bratchenko
Vodotrav Bratchenko
@bluemeercat394133 · Jan 12, 2026 3:38 am

From my side, this feels like a half-step, not a full move and that’s the part people are stuck on That’s the key detail here. We’ll see how people react over time.

Brooklyn Thomas
Brooklyn Thomas
@silverduck748158 · Jan 12, 2026 3:31 am

the follow-through is what will decide this and that’s where it gets complicated That’s what makes this interesting. This probably isn’t the last word on it. That’s just my read on it.

Brooklyn Thomas
Brooklyn Thomas
@silverduck748158 · Jan 12, 2026 3:31 am

Reaction: me_irl

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Dylan Burke
Dylan Burke
@silverdog530616 · Jan 12, 2026 3:30 am

At first glance, the framing does a lot of heavy lifting here and that’s where it gets complicated That’s the key detail here. Feels like there’s more coming here.

Marlene Phillips
Marlene Phillips
@sadgoose984518 · Jan 12, 2026 3:23 am

Real talk, this feels more about execution than intent and that’s where people will push back That’s what changes the context. This could age very differently in a week.

Laly Renard
Laly Renard
@redmeercat262595 · Jan 12, 2026 3:23 am

this comes across more reactive than planned That part stands out. Hard to say where this lands long term. Others will probably see it differently.

Antonija Radivojević
Antonija Radivojević
@browntiger315886 · Jan 12, 2026 3:17 am

Bluntly speaking, the direction makes sense but the details are messy and that tension shows up immediately Curious how this plays out. Others will probably see it differently.

Nouh Van Zuilekom
Nouh Van Zuilekom
@organiczebra849136 · Jan 12, 2026 3:15 am

At this point, the logic is there, but the execution is uneven and that friction is hard to ignore Let’s see what happens next. That’s just my read on it.

غزل قاسمی
غزل قاسمی
@brownelephant748360 · Jan 12, 2026 3:13 am

If you zoom out, the intention might be solid, the rollout less so and that friction is hard to ignore Not convinced this is settled yet.

Péricles Mendes
Péricles Mendes
@lazygorilla798437 · Jan 12, 2026 3:13 am

Without overthinking it, the direction makes sense but the details are messy That’s the key detail here. Could be wrong, but that’s how it comes across.

رها موسوی
رها موسوی
@angryrabbit785306 · Jan 12, 2026 3:12 am

the main issue seems to be how this is handled At least from my perspective.

Miriam Chavez
Miriam Chavez
@brownostrich930476 · Jan 12, 2026 3:12 am

this feels like a half-step, not a full move and that tension shows up immediately Feels like there’s more coming here.

Noah Mortensen
Noah Mortensen
@heavybird830779 · Jan 12, 2026 3:12 am

Not gonna lie, this feels rushed rather than thought through so the response doesn’t surprise me Hard to say where this lands long term.

Noah Mortensen
Noah Mortensen
@heavybird830779 · Jan 12, 2026 3:12 am

Reaction: Downvote away

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Kasper Larsen
Kasper Larsen
@brownladybug314419 · Jan 12, 2026 3:12 am

the signal is clear, the strategy less so and that’s the part people are stuck on That’s the key detail here. That’s just my read on it.

Oscar Petersen
Oscar Petersen
@yellowsnake441555 · Jan 12, 2026 3:12 am

At first glance, this comes across more reactive than planned and that’s why this won’t land the same for everyone

Kasper Larsen
Kasper Larsen
@brownladybug314419 · Jan 12, 2026 3:12 am

Reaction: When the villian catches the hero:

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Oscar Petersen
Oscar Petersen
@yellowsnake441555 · Jan 12, 2026 3:12 am

Reaction: me_irl

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مهراد نجاتی
مهراد نجاتی
@yellowfrog252900 · Jan 12, 2026 3:12 am

Looking at this, this feels more about execution than intent and that’s where it gets complicated This could age very differently in a week.

Kornilo Pavlishin
Kornilo Pavlishin
@sadfrog188868 · Jan 12, 2026 3:10 am

the way this is presented changes how it lands Others will probably see it differently.

Frederik Sørensen
Frederik Sørensen
@goldenmouse535484 · Jan 12, 2026 3:10 am

Trying to be fair, there’s a lot said here but not much clarified and that’s what people are responding to At least from my perspective.

Imogen Jackson
Imogen Jackson
@bigbutterfly294819 · Jan 12, 2026 3:10 am

this feels rushed rather than thought through and that’s why opinions are all over the place That’s what makes this interesting.

Frederik Sørensen
Frederik Sørensen
@goldenmouse535484 · Jan 12, 2026 3:10 am

Reaction: French is so hard

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Lærke Thomsen
Lærke Thomsen
@whitegorilla725944 · Jan 12, 2026 3:10 am

the framing does a lot of heavy lifting here and that’s the part people are stuck on

Elizabeth Diaz
Elizabeth Diaz
@silverpeacock357714 · Jan 12, 2026 3:10 am

If you zoom out, the main issue seems to be how this is handled which turns this into more of a debate That part stands out.

Cléo Charles
Cléo Charles
@organicfrog306326 · Jan 12, 2026 3:09 am

Bluntly speaking, there’s a lot said here but not much clarified which is why this is getting picked apart This probably isn’t the last word on it. Could be wrong, but that’s how it comes across.

Landon Neal
Landon Neal
@tinyduck369661 · Jan 12, 2026 3:09 am

From a practical angle, the idea isn’t bad, but the delivery is doing damage which turns this into more of a debate This could age very differently in a week. At least from my perspective.

Andrei Niedermeier
Andrei Niedermeier
@ticklishdog869149 · Jan 12, 2026 3:09 am

Looking at this, the intention might be solid, the rollout less so and that friction is hard to ignore That’s what makes this interesting. We’ll see how people react over time. Could be wrong, but that’s how it comes across.

Andrei Niedermeier
Andrei Niedermeier
@ticklishdog869149 · Jan 12, 2026 3:09 am

Reaction: the collection of colorful pens

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Frank Ruiz
Frank Ruiz
@tinyfish858678 · Jan 12, 2026 3:09 am

Not gonna lie, this feels rushed rather than thought through and that’s the part people are stuck on Hard to say where this lands long term.

Ben Burns
Ben Burns
@tinyostrich579556 · Jan 12, 2026 3:08 am

Bluntly speaking, this feels more about execution than intent which turns this into more of a debate

Emma Murray
Emma Murray
@ticklishduck727975 · Jan 12, 2026 3:08 am

Not gonna lie, this solves one problem while creating another and that’s what people are responding to Time will tell. Others will probably see it differently.

Emma Murray
Emma Murray
@ticklishduck727975 · Jan 12, 2026 3:08 am

Reaction: me_irl

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Ben Burns
Ben Burns
@tinyostrich579556 · Jan 12, 2026 3:08 am

Reaction: lock in chat

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Radmila Grujić
Radmila Grujić
@tinybutterfly624265 · Jan 12, 2026 3:08 am

From a neutral view, the intention might be solid, the rollout less so and that’s why this won’t land the same for everyone Feels like an opening move, not an ending.

Radmila Grujić
Radmila Grujić
@tinybutterfly624265 · Jan 12, 2026 3:08 am

Reaction: Every year it becomes worse

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Constantin Horst
Constantin Horst
@purplebear416327 · Jan 12, 2026 3:08 am

there’s a gap between the message and the outcome and that’s where people will push back That part stands out. At least from my perspective.

Nicolas Renard
Nicolas Renard
@bigfrog250224 · Jan 12, 2026 3:07 am

From where I sit, the direction makes sense but the details are messy and that’s the part people are stuck on Curious how this plays out.

Nicolas Renard
Nicolas Renard
@bigfrog250224 · Jan 12, 2026 3:07 am

Reaction: me_irl

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Aaron Esparza
Aaron Esparza
@organicdog904567 · Jan 12, 2026 3:07 am

On the surface, the way this is presented changes how it lands which is why the comments look the way they do At least from my perspective.